Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 13.175006 14.806447 16.576512 18.642104 20.989523 23.577852 26.652989
2025-03-30 10.685584 12.835002 15.339698 18.483514 22.337507 26.925039 32.824874
2025-04-06 8.679955 11.049930 13.990378 17.927896 23.094586 29.686906 38.805265
2025-04-13 7.228095 9.697237 12.939973 17.547502 23.985848 32.751191 45.738633
2025-04-20 6.349418 8.944791 12.539493 17.941174 25.955327 37.568170 55.964907
2025-04-27 5.664831 8.348570 12.253610 18.437156 28.144987 43.072651 68.292696
2025-05-04 5.029533 7.724009 11.826073 18.643867 29.926528 48.271455 81.217668
2025-05-11 4.379891 6.980012 11.103278 18.264644 30.701593 51.991840 92.467079
2025-05-18 3.855817 6.359283 10.482793 17.945871 31.509833 55.892964 104.846459
2025-05-25 3.425280 5.832442 9.940281 17.668500 32.331553 59.946756 118.370569
2025-06-01 3.081521 5.407213 9.511061 17.521171 33.357041 64.548072 133.978335
2025-06-08 2.799626 5.054030 9.160194 17.460821 34.530669 69.637453 151.743568
2025-06-15 2.622005 4.876416 9.121806 18.028215 37.128330 78.272347 179.773938
2025-06-22 2.400984 4.588229 8.834665 18.052472 38.602493 84.820157 204.697863
2025-06-29 2.161480 4.233811 8.370631 17.635907 39.044091 89.156354 225.369134
2025-07-06 1.965255 3.941859 7.994729 17.351098 39.735420 94.223587 249.329419
2025-07-13 1.856653 3.817383 7.952024 17.806104 42.264759 104.331967 289.972687
2025-07-20 1.764738 3.716689 7.946743 18.347418 45.114328 115.894617 338.303789
2025-07-27 1.658562 3.571768 7.824373 18.589249 47.250583 126.043857 385.526135
2025-08-03 1.522250 3.343337 7.483080 18.236868 47.750419 131.767528 420.443534
2025-08-10 1.403641 3.141901 7.180078 17.936823 48.344699 137.918913 458.842811
2025-08-17 1.299175 2.961807 6.906227 17.672551 48.997835 144.418032 500.690244
2025-08-24 1.211893 2.813040 6.691015 17.534464 50.001162 152.262079 550.243726